I’m not going to lie to you here — I hate the Jack Morris Hall of Fame campaign. Hate it. Despise it. Loathe it. And it isn’t just because there are a few people who will put Jack Morris on their ballots but leave off Bert Blyleven, which is so obviously and clearly wrong that it makes my teeth hurt. I know the other day I tried my best to climb into the minds of one of these voters, and I tried to put some logic behind it, but honestly, I failed miserably. To me, this Blyleven or Morris question seems easier than one of those sample questions you would get on those aptitude tests in the third grade.
Hmm, so you’re telling me that Blyleven has 33 more wins, 32 more shutouts, 1,223 more strikeouts, 68 fewer walks, an ERA that more than a half run better, an ERA+ that’s 13 points better, a better overall postseason record and five or six individual seasons that were better than Jack Morris’ best season … wow, can I have a few more minutes to think about this? Wait, Blyleven had a lot more losses too, so that, oh, he played for worse teams, yeah, that might have had something do with that, um, hold on, I need to sharpen my No. 2 pencil and think about this …
No, that’s not the reason I hate the campaign. And it’s not because I hate Jack Morris — I don’t. I kind of liked the guy in that “he’d stick the ball in your butt to get you out” sort of way. Plus he had a cool stache.
No, I hate the campaign for the same reason that comedian Gary Gulman hates Pepperidge Farm cookies. “They’re a good cookie, but they’re so full of themselves with their names, they’re so bombastic, they’re like, ‘Oh, this is the Milano, and this is the Bordeaux, and the Geneva, and the Brussels cookie, and I’m like, ‘Wow, what a world traveler, where did I run into you again? Oh, that’s right. Target.’”
That’s how I feel about a few (not all) of the Morris Hall of Fame people. Just be humble. Don’t get in my face with your, “Jack Morris was the greatest pitcher of his era,” garbage. Hey, if you want to say, “Look, here’s a guy who had some longevity, he threw a lot of innings every year, he pitched one fabulous postseason game, and, hey, he did win 254 games in his career,” I could see the argument. I probably wouldn’t vote for him, no but I could see the argument. It’s sort of the Tommy John argument without the surgery or the Jim Kaat argument without the Gold Gloves. Morris has better winning percentages than those two guys, but also a significantly higher ERA and fewer wins.
Kaat, to me, is an especially interesting comp:
Jim Kaat: 283-237, .544 winning percentage, 4,530 IP, 2,461 Ks, 1083 walks, 107 ERA+, 3 20-win seasons, 16 Gold Gloves.
Jack Morris: 254-186, .577 winning percentage, 3,824 IP, 2,478 Ks, 1390 walks, 105 ERA+, 3 20-win seasons, one dominating World Series performance.
Of course, that’s with Kaat and Morris both hanging on at the end. If you cut them both off after their last good years — when Kaat was 36 and Morris 37 — the numbers are even more similar:
Jim Kaat: 235-187, 3,638 IP, 3.30 ERA, 2151 Ks, 873 walks, 177 runs saved against average, Gold Gloves, etc.
Jack Morris: 237-168, 3,530 IP, 3.73 ERA, 2275 Ks, 1258 walks, 115 runs saved against average, big playoff game, etc.
OK, so if you think Kaat has a Hall of Fame case — and I can see that — then Morris does too. Fine. Make that argument.
Trouble is … no. That’s not what many of the Morris people I have heard from say. No, they want to tell me that Morris was a DOMINATING pitcher. He had this AURA. Look how many Opening Days he started (I mean, come on, what does that mean? The guy was such a mean SOB, nobody was going to tell him he WASN’T starting Opening Day). They will tell you how he was the best pitcher for three World Series teams which might be an interesting point except that he was not, in fact, the best pitcher on ANY of those teams. At least by the numbers. I mean, you be the judge:
1984 Detroit Tigers:
Jack Morris went 19-11, 3.60 ERA, 148 Ks, 87 walks, 109 ERA+.
Dan Petry went 18-8, 3.24 ERA, 144 Ks, 66 walks, 121 ERA+.
1991 Minnesota Twins:
Jack Morris went 18-12, 3.43 ERA, 163 Ks, 92 walks, 124 ERA+
Scott Erickson went 20-8, 3.18 ERA, 108 Ks, 71 walks, 134 ERA+
Kevin Tapani went 16-9, 2.99 ERA, 135 Ks, 40 walks, 143 ERA+
1992 Toronto Blue Jays
Jack Morris went 21-6, 4.04 ERA, 132 Ks, 80 walks. 102 ERA+
Juan Guzman went 16-5, 2.64 ERA, 165 Ks, 72 walks, 156 ERA+
The thing is that (some) people want you to FEEL the Morris case, feel it in your gut, remember how he battled, be touched by his competitive spirit, imagine that he had this mystical ability to give up one run when his team scored two but flop around and give up seven runs when his team scored eight. He definitely did the latter of those two. In 1992, when he won 21 games, the Blue Jays scored six-plus runs for him FIFTEEN TIMES. Compare that with Frank Viola, who went 13-12 that same year with a much better ERA in a tougher-hitting ballpark. The Red Sox scored six-plus runs for Viola seven times. Overall, the Blue Jays averaged an absurd 5.56 runs per game for Morris that year; the Red Sox averaged 3.49 runs for Viola.
In his career, teams scored five or more runs per game for him eight times. Yeah, that will help a pitcher look more like a “gamer” — when his team scores lots of runs for him. Do you know how many times Blyleven had a team give him five runs per game? Twice. And how about this: In 1976, Blyleven went 13-16, his teams averaged 2.66 runs per game.
But OK, hey, people will exaggerate for the players they love … I get that. Play up the Opening Days, the 20-win seasons, the victories, I”m OK with that. But there’s one case for Morris that just sets me off. I hear it 25 times every year as the Hall of Fame voting heats up. You already know what I’m going to say. It is this simple sentence:
Jack Morris won more games in the 1980s than any pitcher in baseball.
You know, I believe Dominos sells more pizza than anybody else in New York. I believe Taco Bell sells more tacos than anybody in Texas. I’ve even been told — no idea if it’s true — that Budweiser is the best-selling beer in Germany.
This much is true: Jack Morris won more games than any pitcher in the 1980s. But what does it mean? Was Jack Morris ever, even for one single year, the best pitcher in baseball in the 1980s?
Let’s take a look, shall we?
* * *
1980: Morris was 16-15, 4.18 ERA, 99 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 37th best pitcher in baseball with 14 wins shares .
Comment: Steve Carlton’s 24-9, 2.34 ERA was a little bit better. … In the American League, Mike Norris (22-9, 2.53 ERA) probably should have won the Cy Young that went to Steve Stone (who did win 25 games). Morris was not in the discussion.
1981: Morris was 14-7 with a 3.05 ERA, 124 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 6th best pitcher in baseball with 16 Win Shares.
Comment: Shortened season, of course, and Morris was, at least, among the better pitchers. He finished third in the Cy Young voting behind Rollie Fingers (6-3, 1.04 ERA, 28 saves) and Steve McCatty (identical 14-7 record but had 2.33 ERA, and 150 ERA+). Go to the other league, he certainly wasn’t as good as Fernando (13-7, 2.48 ERA, 135 ERA) or Tom Seaver (14-2, 2.54 ERA, 140 ERA+). You also might prefer Steve Carlton (13-4, 2.42 ERA, 150 ERA+) or Nolan Ryan (11-5, 1.69 ERA, 194 ERA+) or even Bert Blyleven (11-7, 2.88 ERA).
1982: Morris was 17-16 with a 4.06 ERA, 100 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 37th best pitcher in baseball with 14 Win Shares.
Comment: He was about as average as you could be. Steve Carlton (23-11, 3.10 ERA), Joe Niekro (17-12, 2.47 ERA) and Dave Stieb (17-14, 3.25 ERA) were the best starters in baseball, with Steve Rogers and right behind. Dan Quisenberry was dominant and, yet, sadly, this was the year that Pete Vuckovich somehow won the Cy Young Award.
1983: Morris was 20-13, with a 3.34 ERA, 117 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 9th best pitcher in baseball with 20 Win Shares.
Comment: Morris’ first 20-win season, and he finished third in the AL Cy Young voting behind LaMarr Hoyt (who, just as sadly, won the Cy Young that year) and Dan Quisenberry (who got screwed for the second straight year). Morris’ numbers were clearly inferior to Rich Dotson’s (22-7, 3.23 ERA, 130 ERA+) and Dave Stieb’s as well (17-12, 3.04 ERA, 142 ERA+), and they were pretty similar to Ron Guidry (21-9, 3.56 ERA) and Scott McGregor (18-7, 3.18 ERA).
1984: Morris was 19-11 with a 3.60 ERA, 109 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 38th best pitcher in baseball with 14 Win Shares.
Comment: OK, we’re five years into the 1980s, and you could argue pretty convincingly that Morris has not had a single year where he would have even been good enough to be in the best FIVE-MAN ROTATION in baseball. Maybe in the strike-shortened year. Maybe. Dave Stieb (16-8, 2.83 ERA, 145 ERA+) was again better, though the Cy went to Morris’ teammate Willie Hernandez (who to me — this won’t surprise you — was not as good as Quisenberry that year). Amazingly, Morris got as many Cy Young votes as Stieb (hey, he had three more wins!). As mentioned, teammate Dan Petry probably had a better year too.
Worth noting: Bert Blyleven for the first time in his career got five runs per game run support. He went 19-7 with a 2.87 ERA.
1985: Morris was 16-11, with a 3.33 ERA, 122 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 15th best pitcher in baseball with 19 Win Shares.
Comment: This was the year of Dwight Gooden, who had an amazing 33 Win Shares and just was utterly dominant. Morris quietly had a pretty good year, one of his better ones, despite only getting 16 victories. But he was nowhere near the top, and once again a right-handed pitcher named Bert Blyleven (17-16, 3.11 ERA, 134 ERA+) was markedly better, even as his team did not support him. The Cy Young, incidentally, went to 21-year-old Bret Saberhagen (20-6, 2.87 ERA) who threw 10 innings of one-run ball to personally beat one of Morris’ best outings of the year (9 1/3, 2 runs).
1986: Morris was 21-8, 3.27 ERA, 127 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 8th best pitcher in baseball with 20 Win Shares.
Comment: This may have been Morris’ best season (though he had more win shares in 1987). In the AL he was miles and miles behind Roger Clemens (24-4, 2.48 ERA), and also behind Teddy Higuera 20-11, 2.79 ERA) and Mike Witt (18-10, 2.84 ERA). Throw in relievers like Mark Eichorn (14-6, 1.72 ERA) and Dave Righetti (8 wins, 45 saves, 2.45 ERA) and … we’re not seven years into the decade and Morris hasn’t had one year where he could even make the slightest claim for being the best pitcher in his own league, much less baseball. But wait, his best Win Shares season is coming up …
1987: Morris was 18-11, 3.38 ERA, 126 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 6th best pitcher in baseball with career high 21 Win Shares.
Comment: Well, here it is — his best Win Shares season. And … was he the best pitcher in baseball? Well, how about we compare him with other starters in the AL:
Was his season better than Roger Clemens (20-9, 2.97 ERA)? No.
Was his season better than Frank Viola (17-10, 2.90 ERA)? No.
How about Jimmy Key (17-8, 2.76 ERA)? No.
Was it better than Bret Saberhagen (18-10, 3.36 ERA, 136 ERA+)? Tough to argue that.
So that makes him about the fifth best pitcher in the American League in 1987. Maybe.
1988: Morris was 15-13, 3.94 ERA, 98 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 52nd best pitcher in baseball with 12 Win Shares.
Comment: I don’t think you need a comment here.
1989: Morris was 6-14, 4.86 ERA, 79 ERA+.
Win Share rank: Tied for 133rd in baseball with four Win Shares — tied with Melido Perez.
Comment: Morris looked done at this point. But he did have one more very good season in him (1991, he went 18-12 with a 3.43 ERA and, of course, his famous Game 7) and one more OK season (1992, he won 21 games, led the league, but had a 4.04 ERA, which was barely better than league average — he got a lot of run support and had great bullpen help). If you care, he finished tied for ninth in Win Shares in his very good year, and tied for 35th in his OK year.
So there you have it. In 10 seasons of the Jack Morris decade, Jack Morris was never even close to being the best pitcher. He was probably not in the Top 5 in any single season. He threw enough innings and got enough run support to win more games than anyone — 162-119 overall — but among pitchers with 250 or more starts, his 3.66 ERA was worse than Nolan Ryan (3.14), Fernando Valenzuela (3.19), Bob Welch (3.21), Dave Stieb (3.32), Mike Scott (3.42), Jerry Reuss (3.48), Joe Niekro (3.56), Don Sutton (3.53 — yes, Don Sutton), Rick Rhoden (3.65) and, um, what’s this? Yes, it’s Bert Blyleven (3.64) who actually had a whole other decade of the 1970s when he was better.
And if you want to look at some of the pitchers who either came up after the 1980s began or left before they ended …
John Tudor (104-66, 3.13 ERA) was a better pitcher in the 1980s.
John Candelaria (97-69, 3.50 ERA) was a better pitcher in the 1980s
Ron Darling (87-55, 3.38 ERA) was a better pitcher in the 1980s.
Ron Guidry (111-72, 3.66 ERA) was every bit as good.
Steve Carlton (104-84, 3.48 ERA) was way better before his sad multi-team ending.
And players with even fewer starts:
Dwight Gooden (100-39, 2.64 ERA) was WAY better.
Orel Hershiser (98-64, 2.69 ERA) was WAY better
Roger Clemens (95-45, 3.06 ERA), yeah, better.
I want to be clear about this: Jack Morris has his Hall of Fame case. He has a lot of wins. He has Game 7. He has a few intangibles, if you happen to be one of the people who like intangibles. But let’s keep it real, people. Jack Morris was not the best pitcher in the 1980s or anything close.
I’m not going to lie to you here -- I hate the Jack Morris Hall of Fame campaign. Hate it. Despise it. Loathe it. And it isn’t just because there are a few people who will put Jack Morris on their ballots but leave off Bert Blyleven, which is so obviously and clearly wrong that it makes my teeth hurt. I know the other day I tried my best to climb into the minds of one of these voters, and I tried ... Read More