<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Koufax and GREAT pitchers</title>
	<atom:link href="http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/</link>
	<description>Curiously Long Posts</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 08:18:34 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2</generator>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
		<item>
		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-61238</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 19:26:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-61238</guid>
		<description>I have had the argument Pedro vs Seaver many times, and all the Pedro guys can say is he dominated in the steroid era, so that just makes him better. Seaver pitched 20 seasons, Pedro 17, and Seaver managed to pitch 2000 more innings, do you mean to tell me that hitters wouldn&#039;t catch up to him if he pitched deeper into games.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have had the argument Pedro vs Seaver many times, and all the Pedro guys can say is he dominated in the steroid era, so that just makes him better. Seaver pitched 20 seasons, Pedro 17, and Seaver managed to pitch 2000 more innings, do you mean to tell me that hitters wouldn&#8217;t catch up to him if he pitched deeper into games.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Recent URLs tagged Hal - Urlrecorder</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-56333</link>
		<dc:creator>Recent URLs tagged Hal - Urlrecorder</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 05 Apr 2009 01:46:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-56333</guid>
		<description>[...] recorded first by Saloner on 2009-02-20&#8594; Koufax and GREAT pitchers [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] recorded first by Saloner on 2009-02-20&rarr; Koufax and GREAT pitchers [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: The Girl Who Loved Andy Pettitte &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Pro Mike Mussina Hall of Fame Argument Round-Up</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-41342</link>
		<dc:creator>The Girl Who Loved Andy Pettitte &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Pro Mike Mussina Hall of Fame Argument Round-Up</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 00:19:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-41342</guid>
		<description>[...] Posnanski said so three times! Once, twice, thrice. He is my favorite sports writer so everyone should definitely listen to [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Posnanski said so three times! Once, twice, thrice. He is my favorite sports writer so everyone should definitely listen to [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-40200</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 05:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-40200</guid>
		<description>One has to wonder just how accurate radar guns really are even today since they clocked a stationary tree at 45 mph with no wind.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One has to wonder just how accurate radar guns really are even today since they clocked a stationary tree at 45 mph with no wind.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jeff</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-26161</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 16:58:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-26161</guid>
		<description>With regards to your idiots/maniacs lead...I&#039;ve always said that normal is defined as: &quot;within one standard deviation of me.&quot;  I imagine that is pretty much everyone&#039;s rule.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With regards to your idiots/maniacs lead&#8230;I&#8217;ve always said that normal is defined as: &#8220;within one standard deviation of me.&#8221;  I imagine that is pretty much everyone&#8217;s rule.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Wally</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25496</link>
		<dc:creator>Wally</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jul 2008 08:47:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25496</guid>
		<description>&quot;The IP drop, you donâ€™t think that had anything to do with him being in his mid-30s?&quot;

Sure, some, but I cannot possibly forget about the banning of the spitball.  This was a rule change that flipped the game on its head.  I&#039;m guessing it had something to do with Johnson&#039;s drop.

&quot;Are you in the camp that thinks that Babe Ruth would be a 4A player in todayâ€™s game?&quot;

Yes, or at least he wouldn&#039;t be posting anything near a 200 OPS+.  He could have been average, he could have been good, or he could have been a wash out.  But to assume he&#039;d dominate the game in anything close to the same fashion that he did would be ridiculous.

&quot;If youâ€™re just going to say â€œit was a different game,â€ then why even have era-adjusted stats like WARP3?&quot;

Well they are nice, but they cannot possibly account every factor, particularly when you are talking about 90 years of baseball.  Yes, a guy throwing almost 400 innings, in a league where replacement level is basically to the point of a common softball player, is going to have a huge advantage in WARP3 over a guy throwing 200-250 innings where replacement level is so much closer to MLB quality.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The IP drop, you donâ€™t think that had anything to do with him being in his mid-30s?&#8221;</p>
<p>Sure, some, but I cannot possibly forget about the banning of the spitball.  This was a rule change that flipped the game on its head.  I&#8217;m guessing it had something to do with Johnson&#8217;s drop.</p>
<p>&#8220;Are you in the camp that thinks that Babe Ruth would be a 4A player in todayâ€™s game?&#8221;</p>
<p>Yes, or at least he wouldn&#8217;t be posting anything near a 200 OPS+.  He could have been average, he could have been good, or he could have been a wash out.  But to assume he&#8217;d dominate the game in anything close to the same fashion that he did would be ridiculous.</p>
<p>&#8220;If youâ€™re just going to say â€œit was a different game,â€ then why even have era-adjusted stats like WARP3?&#8221;</p>
<p>Well they are nice, but they cannot possibly account every factor, particularly when you are talking about 90 years of baseball.  Yes, a guy throwing almost 400 innings, in a league where replacement level is basically to the point of a common softball player, is going to have a huge advantage in WARP3 over a guy throwing 200-250 innings where replacement level is so much closer to MLB quality.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Steve from Cleve</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25462</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve from Cleve</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jul 2008 01:26:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25462</guid>
		<description>The IP drop, you don&#039;t think that had anything to do with him being in his mid-30s?

Even if you want to penalize the Big Train for pitching in the Dead Ball Era and knock something off of his WARP3, he&#039;d still probably beat Pedro in peak value, and he obliterates him in career value. He was also a decent hitter for his career, don&#039;t forget.

If you&#039;re just going to say &quot;it was a different game,&quot; then why even have era-adjusted stats like WARP3? Are you in the camp that thinks that Babe Ruth would be a 4A player in today&#039;s game?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The IP drop, you don&#8217;t think that had anything to do with him being in his mid-30s?</p>
<p>Even if you want to penalize the Big Train for pitching in the Dead Ball Era and knock something off of his WARP3, he&#8217;d still probably beat Pedro in peak value, and he obliterates him in career value. He was also a decent hitter for his career, don&#8217;t forget.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re just going to say &#8220;it was a different game,&#8221; then why even have era-adjusted stats like WARP3? Are you in the camp that thinks that Babe Ruth would be a 4A player in today&#8217;s game?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Wally</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25368</link>
		<dc:creator>Wally</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 16:26:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25368</guid>
		<description>No one actually knows how fast the dead ball era pitchers threw.  Primarily because there was no radar.  However, it seems in 1917 a group measured the speed of certain pitchers&#039; fastballs, and Johnson came in at around 91.  I have no idea how valid that is, it seems like it was not a game situation, but it has to be better than comparing Johnson to a pitcher that had his fastball record by radar roughly 20 years after Johnson retired (radar simply couldn&#039;t have been used until after WWII, though I don&#039;t know the exact date of its use).

Second, I don&#039;t know how we can ignore the spitball factor here, among all the other differences.  Yes, it was still over hand pitching, but that is about where the similarity ends.  The ball was different, the rules where different, the mound was different, the quality of the batter was different....it was a different game.

And look at how well Johnson pitched after the spitball was banned.  In 1918 (the year before the ban) he threw 326 innings at an ERA+ of 214.  He never threw more than 280 innings after the ban, nor reached above an ERA+ of 149.  Also, is it any surprise that in 1922 the two guys over 300 innings (Faber 352, Shocker 348) were allowed to throw spitballs still, while the 3rd best was a non-spitballer at *just* 299.2 innings.  Yes I know cherry picking, but if you look through the leader boards in IP after 1920, you&#039;d see about 1/2 of the players going over, or close to, 300 innings where still allowed to throw the spitball.  And you&#039;d also see the leaders dropping in IP from pre-1920 to post-1920.

So comparing counting stats, even ones as good as WARP3, between a modern pitcher (particularly a pitcher who&#039;s peak was in the &quot;steroid&quot; era) to that of one in the dead ball era is a bit unfair.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No one actually knows how fast the dead ball era pitchers threw.  Primarily because there was no radar.  However, it seems in 1917 a group measured the speed of certain pitchers&#8217; fastballs, and Johnson came in at around 91.  I have no idea how valid that is, it seems like it was not a game situation, but it has to be better than comparing Johnson to a pitcher that had his fastball record by radar roughly 20 years after Johnson retired (radar simply couldn&#8217;t have been used until after WWII, though I don&#8217;t know the exact date of its use).</p>
<p>Second, I don&#8217;t know how we can ignore the spitball factor here, among all the other differences.  Yes, it was still over hand pitching, but that is about where the similarity ends.  The ball was different, the rules where different, the mound was different, the quality of the batter was different&#8230;.it was a different game.</p>
<p>And look at how well Johnson pitched after the spitball was banned.  In 1918 (the year before the ban) he threw 326 innings at an ERA+ of 214.  He never threw more than 280 innings after the ban, nor reached above an ERA+ of 149.  Also, is it any surprise that in 1922 the two guys over 300 innings (Faber 352, Shocker 348) were allowed to throw spitballs still, while the 3rd best was a non-spitballer at *just* 299.2 innings.  Yes I know cherry picking, but if you look through the leader boards in IP after 1920, you&#8217;d see about 1/2 of the players going over, or close to, 300 innings where still allowed to throw the spitball.  And you&#8217;d also see the leaders dropping in IP from pre-1920 to post-1920.</p>
<p>So comparing counting stats, even ones as good as WARP3, between a modern pitcher (particularly a pitcher who&#8217;s peak was in the &#8220;steroid&#8221; era) to that of one in the dead ball era is a bit unfair.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Brent</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25359</link>
		<dc:creator>Brent</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 15:56:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25359</guid>
		<description>Dr. Light:

What really brought home the concept of Dodgers Stadium as a pitcher&#039;s park to me wasn&#039;t pitching stats but actually the batting stats of Willie Davis.  Bill James once translated Willie Davis&#039;s rather pedestrian (seeming) offensive stats to a run neutral environment and they were suddenly transformed into HOF numbers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dr. Light:</p>
<p>What really brought home the concept of Dodgers Stadium as a pitcher&#8217;s park to me wasn&#8217;t pitching stats but actually the batting stats of Willie Davis.  Bill James once translated Willie Davis&#8217;s rather pedestrian (seeming) offensive stats to a run neutral environment and they were suddenly transformed into HOF numbers.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Incoming Message from Dr. Light</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25358</link>
		<dc:creator>Incoming Message from Dr. Light</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jul 2008 15:23:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2008/07/25/koufax-and-great-pitchers/#comment-25358</guid>
		<description>(Afterthought to the above: Road runs/game is of course just one metric.  The Dodgers of that era don&#039;t perform all that well in OPS+; I&#039;d try doing run differentials, but B-R doesn&#039;t have those explicitly, and I was too pressed for time to do it myself.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Afterthought to the above: Road runs/game is of course just one metric.  The Dodgers of that era don&#8217;t perform all that well in OPS+; I&#8217;d try doing run differentials, but B-R doesn&#8217;t have those explicitly, and I was too pressed for time to do it myself.)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>
<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. The path to wp-cache-phase1.php in wp-content/advanced-cache.php must be fixed! -->