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	<title>Comments on: The Hall of Something or Other &#8230;</title>
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	<description>Curiously Long Posts</description>
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		<title>By: SkeptiSys</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4586</link>
		<dc:creator>SkeptiSys</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jan 2008 18:16:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4586</guid>
		<description>Reggie Smith was a significantly more valuable player than Rice.  They are comparable based on slugging, but otherwise:
1) Rice was more likely to create an out, which is undervalued by OPS+
2) Reggie played over 800 games in CF and won a Gold Glove as a CF.  Rice played 530 games at DH, otherwise in LF.
3) Even though OPS+ overvalues a player like Rice, Reggie had a much higher peak season (167-157) and career (137 - 128) with this measure.  
4) Reggie&#039;s offensive winning% (which adjusts for outs created) is tied for 84th all time.  Jim Rice is tied for 285th.  
They are just not of comparable quality.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Reggie Smith was a significantly more valuable player than Rice.  They are comparable based on slugging, but otherwise:<br />
1) Rice was more likely to create an out, which is undervalued by OPS+<br />
2) Reggie played over 800 games in CF and won a Gold Glove as a CF.  Rice played 530 games at DH, otherwise in LF.<br />
3) Even though OPS+ overvalues a player like Rice, Reggie had a much higher peak season (167-157) and career (137 &#8211; 128) with this measure.<br />
4) Reggie&#8217;s offensive winning% (which adjusts for outs created) is tied for 84th all time.  Jim Rice is tied for 285th.<br />
They are just not of comparable quality.</p>
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		<title>By: Simon Oliver Lockwood</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4328</link>
		<dc:creator>Simon Oliver Lockwood</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2008 17:26:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4328</guid>
		<description>Sutter&#039;s period of dominance was slightly longer (1977-84) than Quiz&#039; (1980-85), and since he started earlier it made more of an impact.  Sutter was being compared to Gossage and Lyle whereas Quiz was being compared to Sutter.  Sutter was also unhittable in the All-Star game in the late 70s which increased his visibility.

Mind you, I&#039;d vote for Quiz as well.  But I can see why some people would vote for Sutter and not Quiz.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sutter&#8217;s period of dominance was slightly longer (1977-84) than Quiz&#8217; (1980-85), and since he started earlier it made more of an impact.  Sutter was being compared to Gossage and Lyle whereas Quiz was being compared to Sutter.  Sutter was also unhittable in the All-Star game in the late 70s which increased his visibility.</p>
<p>Mind you, I&#8217;d vote for Quiz as well.  But I can see why some people would vote for Sutter and not Quiz.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4275</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2008 02:38:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4275</guid>
		<description>My first thought was Fred Lynn, but then I realized, with time to spare, it was Allen. Yay! I feel smart! Also, Allen and Belle were my two write-in votes for Pozcars (Joe, you didn&#039;t mention the Allen vote--that&#039;s one of the ones you lost?).

I have always felt precisely the same way--it is odd that the decline years are the years that separate Hall of Famers from non-HOFers, more often than not.  I never knew so clearly that this made me uncomfortable, but thank you Joe, like a good shrink, you have just brought my feelings to the surface. 

So now I am embarassed that I did not post a Pozcar vote for Alan Trammell. Not only was he a great player--he was almost single-handedly responsible for my shared stratomatic title in the winter of 84-85. What was I thinking?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My first thought was Fred Lynn, but then I realized, with time to spare, it was Allen. Yay! I feel smart! Also, Allen and Belle were my two write-in votes for Pozcars (Joe, you didn&#8217;t mention the Allen vote&#8211;that&#8217;s one of the ones you lost?).</p>
<p>I have always felt precisely the same way&#8211;it is odd that the decline years are the years that separate Hall of Famers from non-HOFers, more often than not.  I never knew so clearly that this made me uncomfortable, but thank you Joe, like a good shrink, you have just brought my feelings to the surface. </p>
<p>So now I am embarassed that I did not post a Pozcar vote for Alan Trammell. Not only was he a great player&#8211;he was almost single-handedly responsible for my shared stratomatic title in the winter of 84-85. What was I thinking?</p>
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		<title>By: Mr. Leisure</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4234</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr. Leisure</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 19:23:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4234</guid>
		<description>As I was reading the age 33 description and trying to guess who it was, you know what name I came up with?

Albert Belle.  However, Joey only shows up on strict stathead numbers, not totals, since he didn&#039;t get started until he was 24, while Allen made first full season impact at 23.

Joey was actually done with the game when he was 33.  Poor surly fellow.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As I was reading the age 33 description and trying to guess who it was, you know what name I came up with?</p>
<p>Albert Belle.  However, Joey only shows up on strict stathead numbers, not totals, since he didn&#8217;t get started until he was 24, while Allen made first full season impact at 23.</p>
<p>Joey was actually done with the game when he was 33.  Poor surly fellow.</p>
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		<title>By: Jon Tuttle</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4228</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon Tuttle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 18:59:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4228</guid>
		<description>Sorry Jesus, but your analysis of Guidry versus Koufax is off the mark on several fronts.

First, you start off by saying that Guidry â€œnever didnâ€™t bring itâ€ (perhaps youâ€™re overlooking 1984 and his ERA+of 84 that year).  You donâ€™t mention that Guidryâ€™s formative years were spent playing college ball and in the minors until 1977, except for two cups of coffee in 75 and 76.  He was already 26 by then.  Koufax, on the other hand, was signed as a bonus baby at 19 and had to learn by doing at the major league level, with little instruction (rookies were basically ignored back then, as he makes plain in his autobiography).  By the time he was 26, heâ€™d been in the majors for seven seasons and had already made an all star team after finally putting it together in 1961.

Second, Guidryâ€™s best six years are actually not consecutive â€“ they actually occurred over a nine year period from 77 to 85, with a few pretty good years and his stinker in 1984 mixed in.  During this period, his ERA+â€™s were 140, 208, 146, 110, 129, 104, 113, 84, and 123; his best six in descending order were 208, 146, 140, 129, 123, and 113.  Compare those to Koufaxâ€™s six year run, in descending order, of 190, 187, 160, 159, 141, and 123.  Guidry is +18 better in their single best season, then Koufax blows him away the rest of the way - +41, +20, +30, +18, and +10.

Thereâ€™s more.  During his run, Koufax pitched 335.2, 323, 311, 255.2, 223, and 184.1 innings, for a total of 1632.1, and an average of 272 per season.  Guidry, by comparison, had his best years of 273.2, 259, 250.1, 236.1, 222, and 219.2, a total of 1461 (171.1 fewer) and an average of 243, about 29 fewer.  There is a substantial amount of value in what amounts to around 4 extra starts per year for a six year period.

Finally, letâ€™s look at â€œBlackâ€ and â€œGreyâ€ ink, not a terrible way to value their relative performance compared to their peers.  While their Grey inks (top ten finishes) are close at 151 for Koufax to 140 for Guidry, Koufax blows him away again in Black inks (league leading finishes), 78 to 29.  Koufax was by far more dominant compared to his peers than was Guidry.  The comparison between the two is at best superficial, and they really are not that comparable at all â€“ Koufax was simply a much better player.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry Jesus, but your analysis of Guidry versus Koufax is off the mark on several fronts.</p>
<p>First, you start off by saying that Guidry â€œnever didnâ€™t bring itâ€ (perhaps youâ€™re overlooking 1984 and his ERA+of 84 that year).  You donâ€™t mention that Guidryâ€™s formative years were spent playing college ball and in the minors until 1977, except for two cups of coffee in 75 and 76.  He was already 26 by then.  Koufax, on the other hand, was signed as a bonus baby at 19 and had to learn by doing at the major league level, with little instruction (rookies were basically ignored back then, as he makes plain in his autobiography).  By the time he was 26, heâ€™d been in the majors for seven seasons and had already made an all star team after finally putting it together in 1961.</p>
<p>Second, Guidryâ€™s best six years are actually not consecutive â€“ they actually occurred over a nine year period from 77 to 85, with a few pretty good years and his stinker in 1984 mixed in.  During this period, his ERA+â€™s were 140, 208, 146, 110, 129, 104, 113, 84, and 123; his best six in descending order were 208, 146, 140, 129, 123, and 113.  Compare those to Koufaxâ€™s six year run, in descending order, of 190, 187, 160, 159, 141, and 123.  Guidry is +18 better in their single best season, then Koufax blows him away the rest of the way &#8211; +41, +20, +30, +18, and +10.</p>
<p>Thereâ€™s more.  During his run, Koufax pitched 335.2, 323, 311, 255.2, 223, and 184.1 innings, for a total of 1632.1, and an average of 272 per season.  Guidry, by comparison, had his best years of 273.2, 259, 250.1, 236.1, 222, and 219.2, a total of 1461 (171.1 fewer) and an average of 243, about 29 fewer.  There is a substantial amount of value in what amounts to around 4 extra starts per year for a six year period.</p>
<p>Finally, letâ€™s look at â€œBlackâ€ and â€œGreyâ€ ink, not a terrible way to value their relative performance compared to their peers.  While their Grey inks (top ten finishes) are close at 151 for Koufax to 140 for Guidry, Koufax blows him away again in Black inks (league leading finishes), 78 to 29.  Koufax was by far more dominant compared to his peers than was Guidry.  The comparison between the two is at best superficial, and they really are not that comparable at all â€“ Koufax was simply a much better player.</p>
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		<title>By: Aaron</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4218</link>
		<dc:creator>Aaron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 17:58:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4218</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s the thing about Koufax though.  He showed a level of dominance at his position that was unprecedented and unduplicated until Pedro Martinez came around.  He redefined what it meant to be called a &quot;power pitcher&quot; (was that term even coined in the 60&#039;s?) posting strikeout totals and K/9 rates that were completely unheard of as well as leading the league in nearly every statistical category for all 4 years of his dominance.  Koufax isn&#039;t necessarily in the HOF because he had a hall-of-fame career but because he revolutionalized the position.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s the thing about Koufax though.  He showed a level of dominance at his position that was unprecedented and unduplicated until Pedro Martinez came around.  He redefined what it meant to be called a &#8220;power pitcher&#8221; (was that term even coined in the 60&#8217;s?) posting strikeout totals and K/9 rates that were completely unheard of as well as leading the league in nearly every statistical category for all 4 years of his dominance.  Koufax isn&#8217;t necessarily in the HOF because he had a hall-of-fame career but because he revolutionalized the position.</p>
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		<title>By: Jon Tuttle</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4217</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon Tuttle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 17:54:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4217</guid>
		<description>Regarding Koufax, I suggest you back up another year to 1961, when he finally started putting it all together.  Granted, it doesn&#039;t look as &quot;dominant&quot; as the next five years at first blush, but look closer.  His ERA was &quot;only&quot; 3.52, but that was a good hitters&#039; year in the NL, which made it good enough for 7th best in the NL, and since the LA Colesium was a hitter&#039;s park (3 year park factor of 108), his adjusted ERA of 123 bumps him up to fifth best.   He was also fourth in WHIP that year at 1.205, first in K&#039;s with 269, first in K/9IP with 9.47, fourth in Innings at 255.2, and first in K/BB ratio at 2.80.  That&#039;s an awful lot of top five finishes (with several &quot;Black Inks&quot;) in some fairly substantial categories for a 25 year old making more than 30 starts (actually 35) for the first time in his seven year long career.  There is enough &quot;there&quot; there to say he deserves credit for a six year run of greatness, in my opinion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regarding Koufax, I suggest you back up another year to 1961, when he finally started putting it all together.  Granted, it doesn&#8217;t look as &#8220;dominant&#8221; as the next five years at first blush, but look closer.  His ERA was &#8220;only&#8221; 3.52, but that was a good hitters&#8217; year in the NL, which made it good enough for 7th best in the NL, and since the LA Colesium was a hitter&#8217;s park (3 year park factor of 108), his adjusted ERA of 123 bumps him up to fifth best.   He was also fourth in WHIP that year at 1.205, first in K&#8217;s with 269, first in K/9IP with 9.47, fourth in Innings at 255.2, and first in K/BB ratio at 2.80.  That&#8217;s an awful lot of top five finishes (with several &#8220;Black Inks&#8221;) in some fairly substantial categories for a 25 year old making more than 30 starts (actually 35) for the first time in his seven year long career.  There is enough &#8220;there&#8221; there to say he deserves credit for a six year run of greatness, in my opinion.</p>
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		<title>By: Jesus Melendez</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4189</link>
		<dc:creator>Jesus Melendez</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 07:51:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4189</guid>
		<description>My bad, Snowman...I was only looking at his last four years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My bad, Snowman&#8230;I was only looking at his last four years.</p>
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		<title>By: Joe</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4164</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 00:54:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4164</guid>
		<description>Jesus,

I can&#039;t justify Kofax, other than to say I wouldn&#039;t have voted for him either.  In my eyes he did not maintain it for a long enough period of time.  Just like Belle and Allen.

Personality does have a small amount of weight for me, so all things being equal, I would take the &quot;nice guy&quot; over the &quot;not so nice guy&quot;.  And to me there is a difference between &quot;bashing&quot; someone and deciding if he is Hall worthy or not.  I bash Barry Bonds on a regular basis, but I ABSOLUTELY think he is a Hall of Famer.  I will definately bash players I do not like, but when it comes down to Hall consideration it is basically a tie breaker for me.  If Albert Belle were the nicest guy on the planet, I still wouldn&#039;t think he would be a HoFer.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jesus,</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t justify Kofax, other than to say I wouldn&#8217;t have voted for him either.  In my eyes he did not maintain it for a long enough period of time.  Just like Belle and Allen.</p>
<p>Personality does have a small amount of weight for me, so all things being equal, I would take the &#8220;nice guy&#8221; over the &#8220;not so nice guy&#8221;.  And to me there is a difference between &#8220;bashing&#8221; someone and deciding if he is Hall worthy or not.  I bash Barry Bonds on a regular basis, but I ABSOLUTELY think he is a Hall of Famer.  I will definately bash players I do not like, but when it comes down to Hall consideration it is basically a tie breaker for me.  If Albert Belle were the nicest guy on the planet, I still wouldn&#8217;t think he would be a HoFer.</p>
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		<title>By: Snowman</title>
		<link>http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4162</link>
		<dc:creator>Snowman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2008 00:32:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2007/12/31/the-hall-of-something-or-other/#comment-4162</guid>
		<description>Well, I probably wouldn&#039;t vote for Koufax (I&#039;ve always been sort of iffy on him, actually... ask me next week and my answer may have changed... same for Belle.  Mo Vaughn, OTOH, is not even close), but he had five great seasons in a row, not four.  That 141 ERA+ in &#039;62 is nothing to sneeze at.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, I probably wouldn&#8217;t vote for Koufax (I&#8217;ve always been sort of iffy on him, actually&#8230; ask me next week and my answer may have changed&#8230; same for Belle.  Mo Vaughn, OTOH, is not even close), but he had five great seasons in a row, not four.  That 141 ERA+ in &#8216;62 is nothing to sneeze at.</p>
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